As the fact show, Dent not only missed the boom, he also missed the collapse. After all, this is the basis of the bull-bear market cycle. Dent dramatizes this evitable economic cycle in order to link his basic demographic arguments to this cycling.
Instead, Dent based his forecast on Romper Room demographic arguments. In his next book, The Roaring s published inandDent predicts the Dow to reach 41, and the Nasdaq to reach 20, by another version has the Nasdaq at 45, by the same year. The previous article can be found here.
Of course we all know what happened in As you will see shortly, he made one last attempt to jump aboard the mutual fund gravy train. But I will mention one of the less obvious factors. Use mutual funds to most efficiently diversify your holdings; 3. If in fact Dent truly recognized the primary driving force behind the expansion of the s, he would have also predicted that this bull market would come crashing down hard after If you keep predicting Dow 40, it will eventually happen.
His next book was The Great Jobs Ahead And his demographics arguments are so simplistic that they serve no utility.
The greatest returns result from the correct asset allocation. The sales strategy is to hook as many fish as possible so you want to design a net that catches the largest number of fish. But there is much more to Dent and his business plan.
Thus, Dent only felt that a correction would occur due to the rapid appreciation of these markets. I remember this well because I was working at PaineWebber at the time.
In the meantime you can lose a great deal of money. That means you must keep things simple. The fact is that this book focused on his prediction of Dow 40, and Nasdaq 20, by revised later to The Great Jobs Ahead.
A few years after Dent released this book, he was propelled as a pitch man for Wall Street and the mutual fund industry. The following year, things got much worse. Interestingly, in The Roaring s Dent gave some general investment advice that apparently he no longer agrees with: Based on this severe oversight, it would appear that Dent lacks a good deal of common sense.
If Dent had realized that, he might have seen the collapse coming. While he turned out to kind of be right several years later, in my opinion the prediction lacked credibility because the massive credit bubble fueled the stock market.
By Octoberthe market hit its lows, the Dow below and the Nasdaq below Aug 07, · Doorguard: Trying To Make a Dent In The Market Sin Chye Due Date: June 8, (before 5pm) TUTORIAL 3 DoorGuard: Trying to Make a Dent in the Market Steven Harris had just purchased the car of his dreams.
A Look at Harry Dent's Track Record. Posted on 26 Apr this is the basis of the bull-bear market cycle. So Dent seized on the opportunity of a market that had already bottomed by pumping out a new book called The Next Great Bubble Boom published late Really? You see, Dent is trying to spin the facts, as The Roaring s was.
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